Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.249387 1.525766 1.879102 2.377126 3.084232 4.092383 5.722801
2025-02-23 0.897903 1.207352 1.666541 2.446750 3.862771 6.660861 13.964722
2025-03-02 0.731263 1.046557 1.564018 2.573481 4.820917 10.948612 41.096196
2025-03-09 0.612953 0.914168 1.443663 2.585731 5.580081 16.634178 148.476402
2025-03-16 0.518561 0.794469 1.302171 2.476645 5.958273 22.688187 792.307232
2025-03-23 0.470590 0.743017 1.271148 2.598850 7.203097 40.188175 NaN
2025-03-30 0.425006 0.686021 1.212093 2.622761 8.199996 68.491299 NaN
2025-04-06 0.381972 0.626074 1.131692 2.552346 8.764751 107.775436 NaN
2025-04-13 0.347927 0.578188 1.067138 2.502028 9.428597 186.511176 NaN
2025-04-20 0.334464 0.568814 1.087900 2.731954 12.296134 984.530970 NaN
2025-04-27 0.317630 0.549803 1.081167 2.870486 15.137497 33847.448970 NaN
2025-05-04 0.296540 0.518921 1.038366 2.857609 16.822616 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.273454 0.481722 0.974351 2.742624 17.363261 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.259908 0.463833 0.958212 2.822124 20.863410 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.250014 0.452734 0.958154 2.976481 26.890282 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.237010 0.433075 0.930515 2.991358 31.110603 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.221436 0.405987 0.877308 2.857552 31.453298 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.214514 0.398199 0.878834 3.007447 41.639491 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.205320 0.384122 0.859252 3.036848 49.608554 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.194477 0.365166 0.822033 2.950329 52.409527 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.185079 0.348929 0.791039 2.888631 56.630135 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.182921 0.349944 0.814043 3.171419 94.329568 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.178604 0.345227 0.817998 3.342842 144.058224 NaN NaN